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Social Transfers and Fiscal Resilience in Resource-Dependent Regions: Dynamic Evidence from Indonesia’s Nickel Economy

Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun · Vol. 14 No. 3 (2026) · hlm. 1681–1704

DOI
10.26811/peuradeun.v14i3.2899
ISSN
2443-2067, 2338-8617
Terbit
2026-09-30
Penerbit
SCAD Independent
Bahasa
eng
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

Abstrak

Fiscal capacity in natural resource-dependent regions is often constrained by fiscal persistence, structural inequality, and economic shocks. This study examines whether social assistance strengthens local fiscal capacity through local tax revenue while controlling for inflation and fiscal persistence. Using balanced panel data from 17 districts/municipalities in Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia, for 2014–2023, the study applies two-step System GMM with Windmeijer-corrected standard errors to address dynamic persistence and potential endogeneity. The final estimation comprises 136 observations and 12 internal instruments. The results show that lagged local tax revenue positively and significantly affects current tax revenue (β = 0.3401; p < 0.001), confirming fiscal persistence. Social assistance also has a positive and significant association with local tax revenue (β = 0.0706; p = 0.0186), suggesting that social transfers may strengthen fiscal capacity through household purchasing power and local economic activity. Inflation is positively associated with local tax revenue (β = 0.0524; p = 0.0086), indicating nominal expansion of the tax base rather than necessarily improved real fiscal capacity. The study contributes by conceptualizing social assistance as a potential component of fiscal resilience, with implications for integrating social protection, local economic development, and tax administration in resource-dependent regions.

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  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Universitas Dayanu Ikhsanuddin
  • Universitas Dian Nuswantoro
  • State University of Makassar
  • Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Hasanuddin University
  • Lampung University
  • Organisasi lain
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
  • Organisasi sama
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Garis lebih tebal = lebih banyak artikel bersama · lingkaran lebih besar = lebih banyak artikel
Tampilkan sebagai tabel
Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
RAMLY RAMLYUniversitas Halu Oleo5
Abdullah Igo B.DAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Muliha HalimUniversitas Halu Oleo3
Lutfiah LutfiahAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Muh. IlhamUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Wd.YaprilHizrah SriAstutiAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Ayu AshariUniversitas Dian Nuswantoro1
Hikmawati HikmawatiUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Iin PurnamaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Siti Hajrana HajranaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Ramly RamlyState University of Makassar1
Hasniah HasniahUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Sahibu SahibuUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Jurlin JurlinAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Abdullah Igo B.DAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Rusman RusmanUniversitas Syiah Kuala1
Muh IlhamHasanuddin University1
Wa Ode HasnaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Kasmawati KasmawatiLampung University1
Murni NiaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Afrianti BafadalAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Andi Nirma SetiadinAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Adinda FarhahAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Asjun AsjunAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
La Ode TuriUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Mitha NovthafiaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Surahman SurahmanAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Hasniah HasniahUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Edy KarnoUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Siti MaryamMalikussaleh University1
La TaenaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
erli erliAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Anggit HimawanAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

Afiliasi berasal dari OpenAlex; metadata OAI-PMH jurnal tidak memuatnya. Penulis tanpa ID OpenAlex dicocokkan berdasarkan nama, sehingga dua orang bisa tergabung atau satu orang bisa terpisah.

Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.scadindependent.org/index.php/jipeuradeun/oai, pertama di-harvest 7 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Social Transfers and Fiscal Resilience in Resource-Dependent Regions: Dynamic Evidence from Indonesia’s Nickel Economy</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Rizal, Rizal</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ahiri, Jafar </dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Dunifa, La </dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ilham, Muh</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en"> Suriadi, La Ode</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ibrahim, Iskandar</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Anastasya, Ananta </dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Dynamic Panel System GMM</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Fiscal Resilience</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Inflation</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Local Tax</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Social Assistance</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Art and Humanities (miscellaneous)</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Public Finance</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">Fiscal capacity in natural resource-dependent regions is often constrained by fiscal persistence, structural inequality, and economic shocks. This study examines whether social assistance strengthens local fiscal capacity through local tax revenue while controlling for inflation and fiscal persistence. Using balanced panel data from 17 districts/municipalities in Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia, for 2014–2023, the study applies two-step System GMM with Windmeijer-corrected standard errors to address dynamic persistence and potential endogeneity. The final estimation comprises 136 observations and 12 internal instruments. The results show that lagged local tax revenue positively and significantly affects current tax revenue (β = 0.3401; p &amp;lt; 0.001), confirming fiscal persistence. Social assistance also has a positive and significant association with local tax revenue (β = 0.0706; p = 0.0186), suggesting that social transfers may strengthen fiscal capacity through household purchasing power and local economic activity. Inflation is positively associated with local tax revenue (β = 0.0524; p = 0.0086), indicating nominal expansion of the tax base rather than necessarily improved real fiscal capacity. The study contributes by conceptualizing social assistance as a potential component of fiscal resilience, with implications for integrating social protection, local economic development, and tax administration in resource-dependent regions.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">SCAD Independent</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2026-09-30</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.scadindependent.org/index.php/jipeuradeun/article/view/2899</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.26811/peuradeun.v14i3.2899</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun; Vol. 14 No. 3 (2026): Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun; 1681-1704</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2443-2067</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2338-8617</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.scadindependent.org/index.php/jipeuradeun/article/view/2899/1287</dc:relation>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.scadindependent.org/index.php/jipeuradeun/article/view/2899/1294</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2026 Rizal Rizal, Jafar  Ahiri, La  Dunifa, Muh Ilham, La Ode  Suriadi, Iskandar Ibrahim, Ananta  Anastasya (Author)</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>