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EARLY WARNING INDICATORS AND OPTIMAL POLICIES FOR MITIGATING ECONOMIC CRISES: EVIDENCE FROM META-ANALYSIS

Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan · Vol. 23 No. 2 (2020) · hlm. 269–294

DOI
10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1421
ISSN
2460-9196, 1410-8046
Terbit
2020-09-10
Penerbit
Bank Indonesia
Bahasa
eng
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0

Abstrak

Inggris

This study examines the early warning indicators of crises and the optimal policies for mitigating economic crises. Based on meta-analysis of 72 studies, we find that the exchange rate is the most used indicator in detecting crises, and the optimal policies for mitigating crises are monetary and fiscal policies. We further find that besides the exchange rate, the interest rate is a dominant indicator of crises in developed countries.Moreover, the foreign exchange, international reserves and current account are the dominant indicators in developing countries. The evidence for developing countries aligns with the finding that policies addressing external sector performance are preferable to mitigate crises in these countries.

Bahasa Indonesia

This study examines the early warning indicators of crises and the optimal policies for mitigating economic crises. Based on meta-analysis of 72 studies, we find that the exchange rate is the most used indicator in detecting crises, and the optimal policies for mitigating crises are monetary and fiscal policies. We further find that besides the exchange rate, the interest rate is a dominant indicator of crises in developed countries.Moreover, the foreign exchange, international reserves and current account are the dominant indicators in developing countries. The evidence for developing countries aligns with the finding that policies addressing external sector performance are preferable to mitigate crises in these countries.

Jaringan kolaborasi para penulis

12 penulis · 24 tautan kepenulisan bersama · 11 lintas organisasi

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  • Bank Indonesia
  • Lambung Mangkurat University
  • Institut Teknologi Kalimantan
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
  • Organisasi sama
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Garis lebih tebal = lebih banyak artikel bersama · lingkaran lebih besar = lebih banyak artikel
Tampilkan sebagai tabel
Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
P Peter JacobsBank Indonesia2
Tora Erita SiallaganBank Indonesia2
Rieska Indah AstutiBank Indonesia2
Rini OktapianiBank Indonesia2
Muthia ElmaLambung Mangkurat University1
Aulia RahmaInstitut Teknologi Kalimantan1
Hafidz Noor FikriLambung Mangkurat University1
Heryanto HandokoBank Indonesia1
Resti Nisaidha RahmiBank Indonesia1

Afiliasi berasal dari OpenAlex; metadata OAI-PMH jurnal tidak memuatnya. Penulis tanpa ID OpenAlex dicocokkan berdasarkan nama, sehingga dua orang bisa tergabung atau satu orang bisa terpisah.

Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://www.bmeb-bi.org/index.php/BEMP/oai, pertama di-harvest 8 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">EARLY WARNING INDICATORS AND OPTIMAL POLICIES FOR MITIGATING ECONOMIC CRISES:  EVIDENCE FROM META-ANALYSIS</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Abubakar, Arlyana</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Utari, G.A. Diah</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Azwar, Prayudhi</dc:creator>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">This study examines the early warning indicators of crises and the optimal policies for mitigating economic crises. Based on meta-analysis of 72 studies, we find that the exchange rate is the most used indicator in detecting crises, and the optimal policies for mitigating crises are monetary and fiscal policies. We further find that besides the exchange rate, the interest rate is a dominant indicator of crises in developed countries.Moreover, the foreign exchange, international reserves and current account are the dominant indicators in developing countries. The evidence for developing countries aligns with the finding that policies addressing external sector performance are preferable to mitigate crises in these countries.</dc:description>
	<dc:description xml:lang="id-ID">This study examines the early warning indicators of crises and the optimal policies for mitigating economic crises. Based on meta-analysis of 72 studies, we find that the exchange rate is the most used indicator in detecting crises, and the optimal policies for mitigating crises are monetary and fiscal policies. We further find that besides the exchange rate, the interest rate is a dominant indicator of crises in developed countries.Moreover, the foreign exchange, international reserves and current account are the dominant indicators in developing countries. The evidence for developing countries aligns with the finding that policies addressing external sector performance are preferable to mitigate crises in these countries.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">Bank Indonesia</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2020-09-10</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
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	<dc:type xml:lang="en-US">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
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	<dc:identifier>https://www.bmeb-bi.org/index.php/BEMP/article/view/1421</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1421</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan; Vol 23 No 2 (2020); 269 - 294</dc:source>
	<dc:source xml:lang="id-ID">Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan; Vol 23 No 2 (2020); 269 - 294</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2460-9196</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1410-8046</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.21098/bemp.v23i2</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://www.bmeb-bi.org/index.php/BEMP/article/view/1421/917</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2020 Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0</dc:rights>
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