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Significant Wave Height Forecasting using Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) in Seribu Island Waters

IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) · Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024)

DOI
10.22146/ijccs.95044
ISSN
2460-7258, 1978-1520
Published
2024-04-30
Publisher
IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.
Language
eng
License
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

Abstract

Wind waves are natural phenomena primarily generated by the wind. Information about wave height and period is highly crucial in various marine fields such as coastal engineering, fisheries, and maritime transportation. However, accurately predicting wave height remains a challenge due to the stochastic nature of ocean waves themselves. Several approaches to predicting wave height have been developed, including numerical models and machine learning methods, such as the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, which has currently garnered significant attention from researchers. The objective of this research is to develop a forecast model for wind wave height using the LSTM algorithm in Seibu Island Waters, DKI Jakarta. The ERA5 dataset comprises zonal and meridional wind components and significant wave height, along with wind measurement data using the Automatic Weather System (AWS) instrument, are used to train and test to train and test the LSTM model. The research results show that the LSTM model can predict significant wave height effectively. Predictions using the ERA5 significant height dataset are observed to be closer to field data, with RMSE, MAE, and MAPE values of 0.1535 m, 0.1181 m, and 37.11% respectively. Thus, the model evaluation results indicate good performance, with relatively low RMSE and MAE values, and a good MAPE value. The highest accuracy in significant wave height prediction is found for forecasts one week (7 days) ahead

Keywords

Collaboration network of the authors

5 authors · 6 co-authorship links

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Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Syifa Afnani SantosoIPB University1
Karlisa PriandanaIPB University1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/oai, first harvested 26 Okt 2026, last seen 26 Okt 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">Significant Wave Height Forecasting using Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) in Seribu Island Waters</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Khatimah, Husnul</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Jaya, Indra</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Atmadipoera, Agus Saleh</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Computer science</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Deep Learning, Forecast, LSTM, Ocean Wave, Significant Wave Height</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">Wind waves are natural phenomena primarily generated by the wind. Information about wave height and period is highly crucial in various marine fields such as coastal engineering, fisheries, and maritime transportation. However, accurately predicting wave height remains a challenge due to the stochastic nature of ocean waves themselves. Several approaches to predicting wave height have been developed, including numerical models and machine learning methods, such as the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, which has currently garnered significant attention from researchers. The objective of this research is to develop a forecast model for wind wave height using the LSTM algorithm in Seibu Island Waters, DKI Jakarta. The ERA5 dataset comprises zonal and meridional wind components and significant wave height, along with wind measurement data using the Automatic Weather System (AWS) instrument, are used to train and test to train and test the LSTM model. The research results show that the LSTM model can predict significant wave height effectively. Predictions using the ERA5 significant height dataset are observed to be closer to field data, with RMSE, MAE, and MAPE values of 0.1535 m, 0.1181 m, and 37.11% respectively. Thus, the model evaluation results indicate good performance, with relatively low RMSE and MAE values, and a good MAPE value. The highest accuracy in significant wave height prediction is found for forecasts one week (7 days) ahead</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.</dc:publisher>
	<dc:contributor xml:lang="en-US">IPB University</dc:contributor>
	<dc:date>2024-04-30</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en-US"></dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/95044</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22146/ijccs.95044</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems); Vol 18, No 2 (2024): April</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2460-7258</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1978-1520</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/95044/39104</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2024 IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems)</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0</dc:rights>
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