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An Analysis of Covid-19 Transmission in Indonesia and Saudi Arabia

Communication in Biomathematical Sciences · Vol. 3 No. 1 (2020) · hlm. 19–27

DOI
10.5614/cbms.2020.3.1.3
ISSN
2549-2896
Terbit
2020-06-05
Penerbit
The Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

An outbreak of novel coronavirus has been happening in more than 200 countries and has shocked society. Several measures have been implemented to slowing down the epidemics while waiting for vaccine and pharmaceutical intervention. Using a deterministic and stochastic model, we assess the effectiveness of current strategies: reducing the transmission rate and speeding up the time to detect infected individuals. The reproductive ratio and the probability of extinction are determined. We found that the combination of both strategies is effective to slow down the epidemics. We also find that speeding up the time to detect infected individuals without reducing the transmission rate is not sufficient to slow down the epidemics.

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30 penulis · 56 tautan kepenulisan bersama · 20 lintas organisasi

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  • Padjadjaran University
  • University of Nusa Cendana
  • Khulna University
  • Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
  • Sunan Gunung Djati State Islamic University Bandung
  • University of Timor
  • Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember
  • Organisasi lain
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
  • Organisasi sama
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Garis lebih tebal = lebih banyak artikel bersama · lingkaran lebih besar = lebih banyak artikel
Tampilkan sebagai tabel
Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Nursanti AnggrianiPadjadjaran University4
Esther Y. BungaUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Yudi Ari AdiUniversitas Ahmad Dahlan1
Bertha Selviana DjahiUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Ema CarniaPadjadjaran University1
Ananda Ayu PermatasariPadjadjaran University1
Mia Siti KhumaerohSunan Gunung Djati State Islamic University Bandung1
Laura LauraPadjadjaran University1
Md. Haider Ali BiswasKhulna University1
Sk. Abdus SamadKhulna University1
Tahera ParvinKhulna University1
Md. Tusberul IslamKhulna University1
Sanubari Tansah TresnaPadjadjaran University1
Anita TriskaPadjadjaran University1
Muhammad Haekal DzulfikarPadjadjaran University1
Maria Agustina KledenUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Ervin Mawo BanniUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Maria LoboUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Julieta Bernadita Adelia RadjaUniversity of Nusa Cendana1
Siprianus Septian ManekInstitut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember1
Dian Grace LudjiUniversity of Timor1
Roberta Uron HuritAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Edy SoewonoBandung Institute of Technology1
H. ServianaUniversitas Islam Makassar1
Yuke DamayantiPadjadjaran University1
Irma Ruslina DefiPadjadjaran University1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) http://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/cbms/oai, pertama di-harvest 8 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">An Analysis of Covid-19 Transmission in Indonesia and Saudi Arabia</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Ndii, Meksianis Z.</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Hadisoemarto, Panji</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Agustian, Dwi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Supriatna, Asep K.</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Covid-19</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Deterministic</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Stochastic</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Reproductive ratio</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Probability of extinction</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">An outbreak of novel coronavirus has been happening in more than 200 countries and has shocked society. Several measures have been implemented to slowing down the epidemics while waiting for vaccine and pharmaceutical intervention. Using a deterministic and stochastic model, we assess the effectiveness of current strategies: reducing the transmission rate and speeding up the time to detect infected individuals. The reproductive ratio and the probability of extinction are determined. We found that the combination of both strategies is effective to slow down the epidemics. We also find that speeding up the time to detect infected individuals without reducing the transmission rate is not sufficient to slow down the epidemics.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">The Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2020-06-05</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en-US">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/cbms/article/view/13611</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.5614/cbms.2020.3.1.3</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">Communication in Biomathematical Sciences; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2020); 19-27</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2549-2896</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.5614/cbms.2020.3.1</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/cbms/article/view/13611/4766</dc:relation>
</oai_dc:dc>