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Trend of Rainfall Pattern in Palembang for 20 Years and Link to El-niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

JURNAL ILMIAH PENDIDIKAN FISIKA AL BIRUNI · Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023) · hlm. 67–75

DOI
10.24042/jipfalbiruni.v12i1.15525
ISSN
2503-023X, 2303-1832
Terbit
2023-05-15
Penerbit
Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Indonesia
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

One factor that significantly affects rainfall in Indonesia, especially in Palembang City, is the El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study aims to determine how big the correlation is and when the highest correlation occurs between the Nino 3.4 Index and rainfall during the 2001-2020 period. The stages of analysis carried out to carry out this study are as follows: 1) downloading daily rainfall data for 20 years, 2) processing the raw data to make it homogeneous, and 3) correlation analysis to find out when the highest correlation occurs between rainfall and the Nino 3.4 Index. The results show that the highest correlation occurs in September at -0.524, August at -0.481, and October at -0.439. The influence of the Nino 3.4 Index produces a negative relationship. If the Nino 3.4 Index increases, it will affect the maximum temperature at the sea surface so that rainfall will decrease and cause drought. The results obtained can also be used as a prediction or forecast of the inflow of rainfall and the length of the rainy season.

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  • Sriwijaya University
  • STIKOM Tunas Bangsa
  • Hasanuddin University
  • IKIP Siliwangi
  • Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Universitas Gadjah Mada
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Amrul FaruqUniversitas Muhammadiyah Malang4
Muhammad MuslimAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Machmud EffendyAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Nely AndrianiAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Dedi SetiabudidayaAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Wijaya MardiansyahAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Mega KurniaAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Lailis SyafaahAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Edy SutriyonoSriwijaya University2
Sabaruddin SabaruddinAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Deni Okta LestariAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Ilham PakayaAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Heris HendrianaIKIP Siliwangi1
Euis Eti RohaetiIKIP Siliwangi1
R. RumantriSriwijaya University1
Mokhamad Yusup Nur KhakimSriwijaya University1
Agustian SinagaSTIKOM Tunas Bangsa1
Andri AndriSTIKOM Tunas Bangsa1
M Fajar IlhamSTIKOM Tunas Bangsa1
Muhammad FadlySTIKOM Tunas Bangsa1
Muhammad Najib HussainAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Ikrima NufikriaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
FazaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
TiniAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
AnggiAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Marwan RajabUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Andi PrastiyoHasanuddin University1
Abd RahmanHasanuddin University1
Satria PinanditaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Andhy Tri AdriyantoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Yuliyanto Budi SetiawanAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Denik AgustitoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Krida Singgih KuncoroAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Amelia Putri SayyendraAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) http://ejournal.radenintan.ac.id/index.php/al-biruni/oai, pertama di-harvest 9 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 9 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Trend of Rainfall Pattern in Palembang for 20 Years and Link to El-niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ariska, Melly</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Putriyani, Fena Siska</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Akhsan, Hamdi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Supari, Supari</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Irfan, Muhammad</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Iskandar, Iskhaq</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Change</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Rainfall</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Nino Index 3.4</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">One factor that significantly affects rainfall in Indonesia, especially in Palembang City, is the El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study aims to determine how big the correlation is and when the highest correlation occurs between the Nino 3.4 Index and rainfall during the 2001-2020 period. The stages of analysis carried out to carry out this study are as follows: 1) downloading daily rainfall data for 20 years, 2) processing the raw data to make it homogeneous, and 3) correlation analysis to find out when the highest correlation occurs between rainfall and the Nino 3.4 Index. The results show that the highest correlation occurs in September at -0.524, August at -0.481, and October at -0.439. The influence of the Nino 3.4 Index produces a negative relationship. If the Nino 3.4 Index increases, it will affect the maximum temperature at the sea surface so that rainfall will decrease and cause drought. The results obtained can also be used as a prediction or forecast of the inflow of rainfall and the length of the rainy season.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Indonesia</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2023-05-15</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://ejournal.radenintan.ac.id/index.php/al-biruni/article/view/15525</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.24042/jipfalbiruni.v12i1.15525</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Fisika Al-Biruni; Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023): Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Fisika Al-Biruni; 67-75</dc:source>
	<dc:source xml:lang="id">Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Fisika Al-Biruni; Vol 12 No 1 (2023): Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Fisika Al-Biruni; 67-75</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2503-023X</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2303-1832</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://ejournal.radenintan.ac.id/index.php/al-biruni/article/view/15525/pdf</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2023 Physics Education Department, UIN Raden Intan Lampung, Indonesia</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>