Melola Discovery

← Melola Discovery

Jurnal SINTA 1

Stock Price Forecasting with Multivariate Time Series Long Short-Term Memory: A Deep Learning Approach

Journal of Robotics and Control (JRC) · Vol. 5 No. 5 (2024) · hlm. 1322–1335

DOI
10.18196/jrc.v5i5.22460
ISSN
2715-5072, 2715-5056
Terbit
2024-07-08
Penerbit
Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

Stocks with their inherent complexity and dynamic nature influenced by a multitude of external and internal factors, play a crucial role in investment analysis and trend prediction. As financial instruments representing ownership in a company, stocks not only reflect the company's performance but are also affected by external factors such as economic conditions, political climates, and social changes. In a rapidly changing environment, investors and analysts continuously develop models and algorithms to aid in making timely and effective investment decisions. This study applies a Sequential model to predict stock data using a LSTM neural network. The model consists of a single hidden LSTM layer with 200 units. The LSTM layer, the core element of this model, enables it to capture temporal patterns and long-term relationships within the data. The training and testing data were divided into 80% for training and 20% for testing. The Adam optimizer was chosen to optimize the model's learning process, with a learning rate of 0.001. Dropout techniques were applied to reduce overfitting, with a dropout rate of 0.4, along with batch normalization and ReLU activation functions to enhance model performance. Additionally, callback mechanisms, including ReduceLROnPlateau and EarlyStopping, were used to optimize the training process and prevent overfitting. The model was evaluated using MAE and MSE metrics on training, testing, and future prediction data. The results indicate that the model achieved high accuracy, with an MAE of 0.0142 on the test data. However, future predictions showed higher MAE values, suggesting room for improvement in long-term forecasting. The model's ability to accurately predict future stock closing prices can assist investors in making informed investment decisions.

Kata kunci

Jaringan kolaborasi para penulis

20 penulis · 69 tautan kepenulisan bersama · 3 lintas organisasi

Arahkan kursor atau ketuk sebuah nama untuk menyorot rekan penulisnya. Klik dua kali untuk membuka halaman penulis.

  • Universitas Qamarul Huda Badaruddin
  • Sebelas Maret University
  • Cenderawasih University
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
  • Organisasi sama
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Garis lebih tebal = lebih banyak artikel bersama · lingkaran lebih besar = lebih banyak artikel
Tampilkan sebagai tabel
Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Setiawan Ardi WijayaAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Murni MurniAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Hamid ChojaaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Mahmoud A. MossaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Said OuhssainAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Yahya AljarhiziAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Elmehdi Al IbrahmiAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Aziz HadouneAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Alfian MaarifAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Asno Azzawagama FirdausUniversitas Qamarul Huda Badaruddin1
Hari MaghfirohSebelas Maret University1
Rahmad HidayatCenderawasih University1
Fahmi SyuhadaAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Feri AdriyantoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Miftahul AnwarAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Joko Slamet SaputroAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

Afiliasi berasal dari OpenAlex; metadata OAI-PMH jurnal tidak memuatnya. Penulis tanpa ID OpenAlex dicocokkan berdasarkan nama, sehingga dua orang bisa tergabung atau satu orang bisa terpisah.

Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/jrc/oai, pertama di-harvest 9 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 9 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc)
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">Stock Price Forecasting with Multivariate Time Series Long Short-Term Memory: A Deep Learning Approach</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Furizal, Furizal</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Ritonga, Asdelina</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Ma’arif, Alfian</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Suwarno, Iswanto</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">LSTM</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Time Series</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Deep Learning</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Stock Price</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Forecasting.</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">Stocks with their inherent complexity and dynamic nature influenced by a multitude of external and internal factors, play a crucial role in investment analysis and trend prediction. As financial instruments representing ownership in a company, stocks not only reflect the company's performance but are also affected by external factors such as economic conditions, political climates, and social changes. In a rapidly changing environment, investors and analysts continuously develop models and algorithms to aid in making timely and effective investment decisions. This study applies a Sequential model to predict stock data using a LSTM neural network. The model consists of a single hidden LSTM layer with 200 units. The LSTM layer, the core element of this model, enables it to capture temporal patterns and long-term relationships within the data. The training and testing data were divided into 80% for training and 20% for testing. The Adam optimizer was chosen to optimize the model's learning process, with a learning rate of 0.001. Dropout techniques were applied to reduce overfitting, with a dropout rate of 0.4, along with batch normalization and ReLU activation functions to enhance model performance. Additionally, callback mechanisms, including ReduceLROnPlateau and EarlyStopping, were used to optimize the training process and prevent overfitting. The model was evaluated using MAE and MSE metrics on training, testing, and future prediction data. The results indicate that the model achieved high accuracy, with an MAE of 0.0142 on the test data. However, future predictions showed higher MAE values, suggesting room for improvement in long-term forecasting. The model's ability to accurately predict future stock closing prices can assist investors in making informed investment decisions.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2024-07-08</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/jrc/article/view/22460</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.18196/jrc.v5i5.22460</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">Journal of Robotics and Control (JRC); Vol. 5 No. 5 (2024); 1322-1335</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2715-5072</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2715-5056</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.18196/jrc.v5i5</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/jrc/article/view/22460/9335</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2024 Furizal Furizal, Asdelina Ritonga, Alfian Ma’arif, Iswanto Suwarno</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>