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Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Assessment in Cianjur Following the Mw 5.6, 2022 Earthquake

Journal of the Civil Engineering Forum · Vol. 11 No. 3 (2025) · hlm. 245–256

DOI
10.22146/jcef.18988
ISSN
2549-5925, 2581-1037
Terbit
2025-07-08
Penerbit
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

On November 21, 2022, a Mw 5.6 earthquake struck Cianjur, West Java, Indonesia, causing extensive damage to buildings, infrastructure, and public facilities, and resulting in 602 fatalities and thousands of injuries. The earthquake’s hypocenter was located near the Cugenang Sub-District, leading to the identification of the previously unmapped Cugenang Fault as its source. This discovery highlights the need to reassess seismic hazards in the region, as it reveals the existence of previously unrecognized active faults. This study conducts a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for Cianjur using an updated seismic source model that incorporates the Cugenang Fault. We apply updated ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and utilize the logic tree method to account for uncertainties in attenuation equations and source parameters. Ground motion is expressed as peak ground acceleration (PGA) on both bedrock and surface conditions for return periods of 100, 150, 250, 500, 1,000, 2,500, 5,000, and 10,000 years. These return periods capture the hazard levels associated with both frequent low-magnitude and rare high-magnitude earthquakes. Our findings indicate that high PGA values in the Cianjur area are concentrated around crustal faults, exceeding 1.0 g for return periods of 2,500 years and beyond. The Cugenang Fault has a localized impact, with its influence extending up to approximately 10 km from the fault line. A seismic hazard disaggregation analysis confirms that crustal faults are the dominant seismic sources in the region. The results of this study provide valuable insights for updated seismic risk in Cianjur and support future mitigation strategies, urban planning, and infrastructure design to enhance earthquake resilience in the affected area.

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  • Universitas Gadjah Mada
  • Meteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency
  • Port and Airport Research Institute
  • Indonesian Institute of Sciences
  • Institut de physique du globe de Paris
  • Institut Teknologi Nasional Yogyakarta
  • National Cheng Kung University
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Angga Fajar SetiawanUniversitas Gadjah Mada3
Ali AwaludinUniversitas Gadjah Mada2
Yusuf HarokiPort and Airport Research Institute2
Muhamad Fauzi DarmawanUniversitas Gadjah Mada2
Hurien HelmiInstitut Teknologi Nasional Yogyakarta1
Agung SetiantoUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Aulia Kurnia HadyAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Yann KlingerInstitut de physique du globe de Paris1
Telly KurniawanMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Retno Agung P. KambaliMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Zulham SugitoMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Abdi JihadMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Yosi SetiawanMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Andi Azhar RusdinMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Supriyanto RohadiMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Rahmat TriyonoMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Dwikorita KarnawatiMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Ananto NugrohoIndonesian Institute of Sciences1
Subyakto SubyaktoIndonesian Institute of Sciences1
Shuanglan WuPort and Airport Research Institute1
Andreas TriwiyonoUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Kukuh Adhi KafieUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Hsuan‐Teh HuNational Cheng Kung University1
Ananda Elnish FiqhunissaUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Mariyana Aida Ab KadirUniversity of Technology Malaysia1
Noorsuhada Md NorUniversiti Teknologi MARA1
Sidiq PurnomoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Ignatius Harry SumartonoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/v3/jcef/oai, pertama di-harvest 9 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 9 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc)
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Assessment in Cianjur Following the Mw 5.6, 2022 Earthquake</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Ardha, Yusufa Kholifa</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Satyarno, Iman</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Marliyani, Gayatri Indah</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Cianjur</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Peak ground acceleration</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">Cugenang fault</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">On November 21, 2022, a Mw&amp;nbsp;5.6 earthquake struck Cianjur, West Java, Indonesia, causing extensive damage to buildings, infrastructure, and public facilities, and resulting in 602 fatalities and thousands of injuries. The earthquake’s hypocenter was located near the Cugenang Sub-District, leading to the identification of the previously unmapped Cugenang Fault as its source. This discovery highlights the need to reassess seismic hazards in the region, as it reveals the existence of previously unrecognized active faults. This study conducts a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for Cianjur using an updated seismic source model that incorporates the Cugenang Fault. We apply updated ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and utilize the logic tree method to account for uncertainties in attenuation equations and source parameters. Ground motion is expressed as peak ground acceleration (PGA) on both bedrock and surface conditions for return periods of 100, 150, 250, 500, 1,000, 2,500, 5,000, and 10,000 years. These return periods capture the hazard levels associated with both frequent low-magnitude and rare high-magnitude earthquakes. Our findings indicate that high PGA values in the Cianjur area are concentrated around crustal faults, exceeding 1.0 g for return periods of 2,500 years and beyond. The Cugenang Fault has a localized impact, with its influence extending up to approximately 10 km from the fault line. A seismic hazard disaggregation analysis confirms that crustal faults are the dominant seismic sources in the region. The results of this study provide valuable insights for updated seismic risk in Cianjur and support future mitigation strategies, urban planning, and infrastructure design to enhance earthquake resilience in the affected area.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-07-08</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en-US">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/v3/JCEF/article/view/18988</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22146/jcef.18988</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">Journal of the Civil Engineering Forum; Vol. 11 No. 3 (September 2025); 245-256</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2549-5925</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2581-1037</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/v3/JCEF/article/view/18988/5954</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2025 The Author(s)</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>