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METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT BASED (ESEB) DAN METODE WINTER’S EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (WES) UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG TIBA DI PELABUHAN PENYEBERANGAN GORONTALO

BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan · Vol. 13 No. 3 (2019) · pp. 199–204

DOI
10.30598/barekengvol13iss3pp197-202ar935
ISSN
2615-3017, 1978-7227
Published
2019-10-01
Publisher
PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY
Language
eng

Abstract

Forecasting the number of passengers can be a consideration for managers of Gorontalo Crossing Port regarding the provision of tickets. The number of passengers can be influenced by certain seasonal or special events. To see the special events that affect the number of passengers arriving at Gorontalo Crossing Port, the forecasting method used is the Exponential Smoothing Event Based (ESEB) method. The seasonal influences can be known through historical data patterns and using the Winter’s Exponential Smoothing (WES) method. After compared, the ESEB method is a better method of forecasting the number of arriving passengers at Gorontalo Crossing Port because it has a smaller MAPE value than the WES method.

Collaboration network of the authors

17 authors · 49 co-authorship links

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Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Nurwan NurwanAffiliation unknown2
Rahmayunda UsaliAffiliation unknown1
Franky Alfrits OrohAffiliation unknown1
Djihad WungguliAffiliation unknown1
Salmun K. NasibAffiliation unknown1
Jefri N. IsaAffiliation unknown1
Stella JunusAffiliation unknown1
Ismail DjakariaAffiliation unknown1
Lailany YahyaAffiliation unknown1
La Ode NasharAffiliation unknown1
Amanda AdityaningrumAffiliation unknown1
Sri Indriani LadjaliAffiliation unknown1
Herlina JusufAffiliation unknown1
Nisky Imansyah YahyaAffiliation unknown1
Melisa HuntalaAffiliation unknown1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/oai, first harvested 5 Nov 2026, last seen 5 Nov 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT BASED (ESEB) DAN METODE WINTER’S EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (WES) UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG TIBA  DI PELABUHAN PENYEBERANGAN GORONTALO</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Payu, Muhammad Rezky Friesta</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Nurwan, N.</dc:creator>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">Forecasting the number of passengers can be a consideration for managers of Gorontalo Crossing Port regarding the provision of tickets. The number of passengers can be influenced by certain seasonal or special events. To see the special events that affect the number of passengers arriving at Gorontalo Crossing Port, the forecasting method used is the Exponential Smoothing Event Based (ESEB) method. The seasonal influences can be known through historical data patterns and using the Winter’s Exponential Smoothing (WES) method. After compared, the ESEB method is a better method of forecasting the number of arriving passengers at Gorontalo Crossing Port because it has a smaller MAPE value than the WES method.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2019-10-01</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/935</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.30598/barekengvol13iss3pp197-202ar935</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan; Vol 13 No 3 (2019): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan; 199-204</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2615-3017</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1978-7227</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.30598/barekengvol13iss3year2019</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/935/1111</dc:relation>
	<dc:relation>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/935/1112</dc:relation>
</oai_dc:dc>