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EARTHQUAKE FREQUENCY DATA MODELING IN MENTAWAI USING FUZZY TIME SERIES LEE AND FUZZY TIME SERIES TSAUR

BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan · Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024) · pp. 0281–0294

DOI
10.30598/barekengvol18iss1pp0281-0294
ISSN
2615-3017, 1978-7227
Published
2024-03-01
Publisher
PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY
Language
eng
License
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

Abstract

The Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) was first studied by Song and Chissom based on the theory of fuzzy sets and the concept of linguistic variables and their applications discovered by Zadeh. FTS has several models, namely FTS Lee, FTS Tsaur, and so on. In this study, we will model earthquake frequency data in Mentawai using FTS Lee and FTS Tsaur. The seismicity data used in this study is earthquake frequency data in the Mentawai which are calculated from 1960 to 2022. Additionally, the seismicity data source is taken from the U.S. Geological Survey catalog. Based on MAPE and MSE, the results obtained on the FTS Lee and FTS Tsaur models are MAPE values of 37,511% and 27,051%. And the MSE values obtained were 27,073 and 11,671. Thus, the best model used in modeling data on the frequency of earthquake occurrences in the Mentawai Islands is the Ruey Chyn Tsaur Fuzzy Time Series model.

Collaboration network of the authors

28 authors · 84 co-authorship links

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  • Hasanuddin University
  • Affiliation unknown
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Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Zulfia Memi MayasariAffiliation unknown6
Fachri FaisalAffiliation unknown3
Mulia AstutiAffiliation unknown3
Refpo RahmanAffiliation unknown3
Lidya SavitriAffiliation unknown2
Meca NerdikaAffiliation unknown2
Fajri RamadanAffiliation unknown2
Nova Asri RamdhaniAffiliation unknown2
Anggel Dwi MirandaAffiliation unknown2
Ramya RachmawatiAffiliation unknown2
Nurul HidayatiAffiliation unknown2
Ratna WidayatiAffiliation unknown2
Bunga Aulya WarrahmaAffiliation unknown2
Prihatin SihotangAffiliation unknown2
Firdaus FirdausAffiliation unknown1
Raditya Janaloka NatishareviAffiliation unknown1
Pepi NoviantiAffiliation unknown1
Wina Ayu LestariAffiliation unknown1
Muhammad Arib AlwansyahAffiliation unknown1
Winalia AgwilAffiliation unknown1
Ressy Fitrizka HaryantiAffiliation unknown1
Sigit NugrohoAffiliation unknown1
Indah WahyulianiAffiliation unknown1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/oai, first harvested 5 Nov 2026, last seen 5 Nov 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">EARTHQUAKE FREQUENCY DATA MODELING IN MENTAWAI USING FUZZY TIME SERIES LEE AND FUZZY TIME SERIES TSAUR</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Damayanti, Septri</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Rizal, Jose</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Yosmar, Siska</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Afandi, Nur</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Acnesya, Vivin</dc:creator>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">The Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) was first studied by Song and Chissom based on the theory of fuzzy sets and the concept of linguistic variables and their applications discovered by Zadeh. FTS has several models, namely FTS Lee, FTS Tsaur, and so on. In this study, we will model earthquake frequency data in Mentawai using FTS Lee and FTS Tsaur. The seismicity data used in this study is earthquake frequency data in the Mentawai which are calculated from 1960 to 2022. Additionally, the seismicity data source is taken from the U.S. Geological Survey catalog. Based on MAPE and MSE, the results obtained on the FTS Lee and FTS Tsaur models are MAPE values of 37,511% and 27,051%. And the MSE values obtained were 27,073 and 11,671. Thus, the best model used in modeling data on the frequency of earthquake occurrences in the Mentawai Islands is the Ruey Chyn Tsaur Fuzzy Time Series model.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2024-03-01</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/10304</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.30598/barekengvol18iss1pp0281-0294</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan; Vol 18 No 1 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application; 0281-0294</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2615-3017</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1978-7227</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.30598/barekengvol18iss1year2024</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/10304/7591</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2024 Septri Damayanti, Jose Rizal, Siska Yosmar, Nur Afandi, Vivin Acnesya</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>