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Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi · Vol. 21 No. 3 (2025) · hlm. 832–846

DOI
10.20956/j.v21i3.43563
ISSN
2614-8811, 1858-1382
Terbit
2025-05-14
Penerbit
Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University
Bahasa
en
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Abstrak

This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.

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  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Hasanuddin University
  • Institut Agama Islam Negeri Kendari
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
  • Organisasi sama
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Gusti Ngurah Adhi WibawaUniversitas Halu Oleo7
Makkulau MakkulauUniversitas Halu Oleo5
Irma YahyaUniversitas Halu Oleo3
Lilis LaomeUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Baharuddin SaidUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Dian Christien ArisonaUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Irma YahyaUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Mukhsar MukhsarUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Safira Nur AdhanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Sartiah YusranUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Ningtias Eka SaputriAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Ruslan RuslanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Iskandar PattihUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Hamirul HadinUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Andi TenriawaruUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Baharuddin BaharuddinHasanuddin University1
Ida UsmanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Rahmalia SahupalaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Lestari DaswanInstitut Agama Islam Negeri Kendari1
Andi Tenri AmpaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Bahriddin AbapihiUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Hartini HartiniAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Baharuddin BaharuddinAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Putri Riski FahyuniAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/oai, pertama di-harvest 5 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Khair, Nur Ismi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ruslan, Ruslan</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Agusrawati, Agusrawati</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Forecasting</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Prophet</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Electricity</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">consumption</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en"> MAPE</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">MSE</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-05-14</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/article/view/43563</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.20956/j.v21i3.43563</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi; Vol. 21 No. 3 (2025): MAY 2025; 832-846</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2614-8811</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1858-1382</dc:source>
	<dc:language>en</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/article/view/43563/12810</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
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