Open access Jurnal SINTA 1
Enabling External Factors for Inflation Rate Forecasting Using Fuzzy Neural System
International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) · Vol. 7 No. 5 (2017)
- ISSN
- 2088-8708, 2088-8708
- Published
- 2017-10-01
- Publisher
- Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science
Abstract
Inflation is the tendency of increasing prices of goods in general and happens continuously. Indonesia's economy will decline if inflation is not controlled properly. To control the inflation rate required an inflation rate forecasting in Indonesia. The forecasting result will be used as information to the government in order to keep the inflation rate stable. This study proposes Fuzzy Neural System (FNS) to forecast the inflation rate. This study uses historical data and external factors as the parameters. The external factor using in this study is very important, which inflation rate is not only affected by the historical data. External factor used are four external factors which each factor has two fuzzy set. While historical data is divided into three input variables with three fuzzy sets. The combination of three input variables and four external factors will generate too many rules. Generate of rules with too many amounts will less effective and have lower accuracy. The novelty is needed to minimalize the amount of rules by using two steps fuzzy. To evaluate the forecasting results, Root Means Square Error (RMSE) technique is used. Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno used as the comparison method. The study results show that FNS has a better performance than the comparison method with RMSE that is 1.81.
Collaboration network of the authors
40 authors · 59 co-authorship links · 5 across different organisations · showing the 40 most connected
Hover or tap a name to highlight its co-authors. Double-click to open the author's page.
- University of Brawijaya
- State University of Malang
- Universitas Merdeka Malang
- Affiliation unknown
- Different organisations
- Same organisation
- Affiliation unknown
- Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
Show as table
| Co-author | Organisation | Joint articles |
|---|---|---|
| Yusuf Priyo Anggodo | University of Brawijaya | 3 |
| Asyrofa Rahmi | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Syaiful Anam | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Adyan Nur Alfiyatin | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Denis Eka Cahyani | State University of Malang | 2 |
| Langlang Gumilar | State University of Malang | 2 |
| Firnanda Al Islama Achyunda Putra | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Fitri Utaminingrum | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Ida Wahyuni | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Ervin Yohannes | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Hilman Nuril Hadi | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Rizal Setya Perdana | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Ghenniy Rachmansyah | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Ria Febriyana | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Vitara Nindya Putri Hasan | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Mohammad Zoqi Sarwani | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Luthfi Hidayat | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Rifki Setya Armanda | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Garsinia Ely Riani | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Fita Lathifatul Mu’asyaroh | Affiliation unknown | 1 |
| Agus Wahyu Widodo | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Diva Kurnianingtyas | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Muchammad Chandra Cahyo Utomo | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Riri Nada Devita | State University of Malang | 1 |
| Heru Wahyu Herwanto | State University of Malang | 1 |
| Candra Fajri Ananda | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Farhanna Mar’i | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Cleoputri Yusainy | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Anik Nur Handayani | State University of Malang | 1 |
| Resty Wulanningrum | State University of Malang | 1 |
| Qoirul Kotimah | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Vivi Nur Wijayaningrum | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Gayatri Dwi Santika | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Agus Naba | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri Alfarisy | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Muhammad Halim Natsir | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.