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Determinants of Indonesian Trade Balance: A Vecm Analysis Approach

Economics Development Analysis Journal · Vol. 10 No. 4 (2021) · hlm. 463–474

DOI
10.15294/edaj.v10i4.45909
ISSN
2252-6560
Terbit
2021-12-25
Penerbit
Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

The Trade Balance is one of the indicators used to see the condition of a country's economy, especially in the trade sector. The trade balance value will affect how the state of the national macroeconomic indicators. In addition, the trade balance is used as additional information in determining foreign trade policy. This study aims to analyze the factors that affect Indonesia's trade balance in 2010-2019. The variables used are investment, rupiah exchange rate, economic growth and trade balance. The method used in this research is VECM (Vector error correction model) analysis with time series data using Eviews 9.0 data processing software. The results show that (1) direct investment has a significant positive effect in the short and long term, (2) exchange rate has a significant negative effect in the long term. short and long term, and (3) economic growth has no significant effect in the short and long term on Indonesia's trade balance

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  • State University of Semarang
  • Sebelas Maret University
  • Universitas Wahid Hasyim
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Timung Tri PrasetyoAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Neni Rohmatul JannahState University of Semarang1
Dyah Candra KiranaState University of Semarang1
Amin PujiatiState University of Semarang1
Reza Nadya Isabella PutriState University of Semarang1
Wijang SakitriState University of Semarang1
Devina RahmayantiState University of Semarang1
Nailatul HidayahState University of Semarang1
KusmiatiState University of Semarang1
Azka FadlliState University of Semarang1
Tionarta BakaraState University of Semarang1
Asila MurdiahState University of Semarang1
Bella Mayriska RahmawatiState University of Semarang1
Mega SilviaState University of Semarang1
FafuridaState University of Semarang1
KarsinahState University of Semarang1
Grace Natalia MarpaungState University of Semarang1
Deky Aji SusenoState University of Semarang1
Phany Ineke PutriState University of Semarang1
Sepviana Nur KumalaSebelas Maret University1
Diva Riza FahlefiUniversitas Wahid Hasyim1
Farida Nur AzizahState University of Semarang1
Yozi Aulia RahmanState University of Semarang1
Shanty OktaviliaState University of Semarang1
Dwi RahmayaniState University of Semarang1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.unnes.ac.id/sju/index.php/edaj/oai, pertama di-harvest 5 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">Determinants of Indonesian Trade Balance: A Vecm Analysis Approach</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Cristanto, Ferdian Adi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Bowo, Prasetyo Ari</dc:creator>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">The Trade Balance is one of the indicators used to see the condition of a country's economy, especially in the trade sector. The trade balance value will affect how the state of the national macroeconomic indicators. In addition, the trade balance is used as additional information in determining foreign trade policy. This study aims to analyze the factors that affect Indonesia's trade balance in 2010-2019. The variables used are investment, rupiah exchange rate, economic growth and trade balance. The method used in this research is VECM (Vector error correction model) analysis with time series data using Eviews 9.0 data processing software. The results show that (1) direct investment has a significant positive effect in the short and long term, (2) exchange rate has a significant negative effect in the long term. short and long term, and (3) economic growth has no significant effect in the short and long term on Indonesia's trade balance</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2021-12-25</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en-US">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/sju/edaj/article/view/45909</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.15294/edaj.v10i4.45909</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">Economics Development Analysis Journal; Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal; 463-474</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2252-6560</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/sju/edaj/article/view/45909/20631</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2021 Economics Development Analysis Journal</dc:rights>
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