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Earthquake trend prediction using long short-term memory RNN

International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) · Vol. 9 No. 2 (2019)

DOI
10.11591/ijece.v9i2.pp1304-1312
ISSN
2088-8708, 2088-8708
Published
2019-04-01
Publisher
Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science
License
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0

Abstract

The prediction of a natural calamity such as earthquakes has been an area of interest for a long time but accurate results in earthquake forecasting have evaded scientists, even leading some to deem it intrinsically impossible to forecast them accurately. In this paper an attempt to forecast earthquakes and trends using a data of a series of past earthquakes. A type of recurrent neural network called Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used to model the sequence of earthquakes. The trained model is then used to predict the future trend of earthquakes. An ordinary Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) solution for the same problem was done for comparison. The LSTM neural network was found to outperform the FFNN. The R^2 score of the LSTM is better than the FFNN’s by 59%.

Collaboration network of the authors

6 authors · 15 co-authorship links

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This record comes from Crossref (what the publisher deposited), because the journal's own OAI-PMH endpoint could not be harvested.

Metadata source: Crossref API (cadangan, berdasarkan ISSN) https://api.crossref.org/journals/2088-8708/works, first harvested 27 Okt 2026, last seen 27 Okt 2026.
Metadata as oai_dc, converted from Crossref
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/"><dc:title>Earthquake trend prediction using long short-term memory RNN</dc:title><dc:creator>Bhandarkar, Tanvi</dc:creator><dc:creator>K, Vardaan</dc:creator><dc:creator>Satish, Nikhil</dc:creator><dc:creator>Sridhar, S.</dc:creator><dc:creator>Sivakumar, R.</dc:creator><dc:creator>Ghosh, Snehasish</dc:creator><dc:description>&lt;jats:p&gt;&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;The prediction of a natural calamity such as earthquakes has been an area of interest for a long time but accurate results in earthquake forecasting have evaded scientists, even leading some to deem it intrinsically impossible to forecast them accurately. In this paper an attempt to forecast earthquakes and trends using a data of a series of past earthquakes. A type of recurrent neural network called Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used to model the sequence of earthquakes. The trained model is then used to predict the future trend of earthquakes. An ordinary Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) solution for the same problem was done for comparison. The LSTM neural network was found to outperform the FFNN. The R^2 score of the LSTM is better than the FFNN’s by 59%.&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;&lt;/jats:p&gt;</dc:description><dc:publisher>Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science</dc:publisher><dc:date>2019-04-01</dc:date><dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type><dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format><dc:identifier>https://doi.org/10.11591/ijece.v9i2.pp1304-1312</dc:identifier><dc:identifier>10.11591/ijece.v9i2.pp1304-1312</dc:identifier><dc:source>International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE); Vol 9 No 2 (2019); 1304</dc:source><dc:source>2088-8708</dc:source><dc:source>2088-8708</dc:source><dc:relation>http://ijece.iaescore.com/index.php/IJECE/article/viewFile/8992/11763</dc:relation><dc:rights>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0</dc:rights></oai_dc:dc>