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Soybean Imports and Economic Resilience: Measuring Their Impact on National Development

Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics · Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025) · hlm. 151–162

DOI
10.15294/efficient.v8i2.24107
ISSN
2655-318X, 2655-6197
Terbit
2025-06-08
Penerbit
Universitas Negeri Semarang
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

Soybeans play an important role in meeting the consumption needs of the Indonesian people. Soybeans also serve as the main raw material in various food industries in Indonesia, such as tofu, tempeh, soy sauce, and other processed products. The high domestic demand has not been matched by domestic production capacity, so Indonesia still relies on imports to meet these needs. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing soybean import volumes in Indonesia using data spanning 23 years, from 2000 to 2022 (time series). This study uses data obtained from official sources such as the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the World Bank, and the Agricultural Information System (AMIS). The method used is a quantitative approach with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression technique. This study aims to analyze the influence of GDP, inflation, exchange rate, and production variables on the volume of soybean imports in Indonesia. A series of steps were conducted, starting from stationarity tests, selection of the optimal lag, cointegration tests, to ARDL model estimation. The results show that in the short term, none of the variables have a significant effect. However, in the long term, only GDP and exchange rate have a significant and positive effect on soybean imports.

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16 penulis · 27 tautan kepenulisan bersama · 7 lintas organisasi

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  • Islamic University of Indonesia
  • State University of Semarang
  • Mulawarman University
  • Universitas Gadjah Mada
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Unggul PriyadiIslamic University of Indonesia2
Erna WidijastutiAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Sandry Windiharto PutroAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Bestari Dwi HandayaniState University of Semarang1
Amin PujiatiState University of Semarang1
Sinta SaraswatiState University of Semarang1
Indah SusantunAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Diana WijayantiIslamic University of Indonesia1
Edy Suandi HamidIslamic University of Indonesia1
Riza Noer ArfaniUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Erfita ErfitaIslamic University of Indonesia1
Sahabudin SidiqIslamic University of Indonesia1

Afiliasi berasal dari OpenAlex; metadata OAI-PMH jurnal tidak memuatnya. Penulis tanpa ID OpenAlex dicocokkan berdasarkan nama, sehingga dua orang bisa tergabung atau satu orang bisa terpisah.

Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/efficient/oai, pertama di-harvest 5 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Soybean Imports and Economic Resilience: Measuring Their Impact on National Development</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Kusuma, Putri Patria</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Dewanta, Awan Setya</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Margaret, Silvia</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Azalia, Areta Nur Fatimah</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Soybean Imports</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en"> Inflation</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Exchange Rate</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">GDP</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Soybean Production</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">ARDL</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">Soybeans play an important role in meeting the consumption needs of the Indonesian people. Soybeans also serve as the main raw material in various food industries in Indonesia, such as tofu, tempeh, soy sauce, and other processed products. The high domestic demand has not been matched by domestic production capacity, so Indonesia still relies on imports to meet these needs. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing soybean import volumes in Indonesia using data spanning 23 years, from 2000 to 2022 (time series). This study uses data obtained from official sources such as the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the World Bank, and the Agricultural Information System (AMIS). The method used is a quantitative approach with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression technique. This study aims to analyze the influence of GDP, inflation, exchange rate, and production variables on the volume of soybean imports in Indonesia. A series of steps were conducted, starting from stationarity tests, selection of the optimal lag, cointegration tests, to ARDL model estimation. The results show that in the short term, none of the variables have a significant effect. However, in the long term, only GDP and exchange rate have a significant and positive effect on soybean imports.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Universitas Negeri Semarang</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-06-08</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/efficient/article/view/24107</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.15294/efficient.v8i2.24107</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics; Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025); 151-162</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2655-318X</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2655-6197</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.15294/v9jn5g50</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/efficient/article/view/24107/5693</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>