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Spatial-Temporal Epidemiology of COVID-19 in Aceh, Indonesia: A Statistical Perspective

Unnes Journal of Public Health · Vol. 13 No. 2 (2024) · hlm. 67–79

DOI
10.15294/ujph.v13i2.3428
ISSN
2548-7604, 2252-6781
Terbit
2024-09-25
Penerbit
Universitas Negeri Semarang (UNNES) in cooperation with the Association of Indonesian Public Health Experts (Ikatan Ahli Kesehatan Masyarakat Indonesia (IAKMI))
Bahasa
eng

Abstrak

The development of COVID-19 cases in Aceh for each region based on spatio-temporal is vital information to know. Spatio-temporal mapping is carried out to knowthe distribution of cases in diversity based on regional and time conditions. The timeseries design study was used as the research design in this study. This study aims toobtain factors that influence the incidence of COVID-19 cases in Aceh using paneldata regression analysis and the GTWR model for more accurate results. There arenine variables from 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province in 2020 and 2021. Based onpartial panel data regression analysis, of the eight independent variables that arefactors for analysis, it shows that only the variable number of doctors (p < 0.000),number of Tuberculosis Cases (p < 0.000), Number of Villages with Puskesmas (p< 0.026), and Number of Poor population (p < 0.035) have a significant effect onthe increase in COVID-19 cases in Aceh. The number of Tuberculosis Cases is avery dominant variable. Then, the results of the GTWR analysis using the AdaptiveKernel Exponential weighting function show that regional and time diversity affectthe factors that cause an increase in COVID-19 cases in Aceh. These factors need tobe a concern in controlling COVID-19 cases in Aceh in the future.

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  • Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Prince of Songkla University
  • University of Hong Kong
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Latifa RahayuAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Mutiara SyifaUniversitas Syiah Kuala2
Mhd KhairulUniversitas Syiah Kuala2
Selvi MardalenaUniversitas Syiah Kuala2
Rumaisa KrubaUniversitas Syiah Kuala2
Virasakdi ChongsuvivatwongPrince of Songkla University2
M. Ischaq Nabil AsshiddiqiUniversity of Hong Kong2

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/ujph/oai, pertama di-harvest 6 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc)
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Spatial-Temporal Epidemiology of COVID-19 in Aceh, Indonesia: A Statistical Perspective</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Sasmita, Novi Reandy</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Phonna, Rahmatil Adha</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Kesuma, Zurnila Marli </dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Kamal, Saiful </dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Yusya, Nudzran </dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Spatio-temporal</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Data Panel Regression</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">COVID-19</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Aceh Province</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en"> The development of COVID-19 cases in Aceh for each region based on spatio-temporal is vital information to know. Spatio-temporal mapping is carried out to knowthe distribution of cases in diversity based on regional and time conditions. The timeseries design study was used as the research design in this study. This study aims toobtain factors that influence the incidence of COVID-19 cases in Aceh using paneldata regression analysis and the GTWR model for more accurate results. There arenine variables from 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province in 2020 and 2021. Based onpartial panel data regression analysis, of the eight independent variables that arefactors for analysis, it shows that only the variable number of doctors (p &amp;lt; 0.000),number of Tuberculosis Cases (p &amp;lt; 0.000), Number of Villages with Puskesmas (p&amp;lt; 0.026), and Number of Poor population (p &amp;lt; 0.035) have a significant effect onthe increase in COVID-19 cases in Aceh. The number of Tuberculosis Cases is avery dominant variable. Then, the results of the GTWR analysis using the AdaptiveKernel Exponential weighting function show that regional and time diversity affectthe factors that cause an increase in COVID-19 cases in Aceh. These factors need tobe a concern in controlling COVID-19 cases in Aceh in the future. </dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Universitas Negeri Semarang (UNNES) in cooperation with the Association of Indonesian Public Health Experts (Ikatan Ahli Kesehatan Masyarakat Indonesia (IAKMI))</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2024-09-25</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/ujph/article/view/3428</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.15294/ujph.v13i2.3428</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Unnes Journal of Public Health; Vol. 13 No. 2 (2024); 67 - 79</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2548-7604</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2252-6781</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.15294/ujph.v13i2</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.unnes.ac.id/journals/ujph/article/view/3428/1430</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2024 Unnes Journal of Public Health</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>