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Demand-side determinants of Indonesian palm oil exports to major destination countries: Evidence from India, China, and Pakistan

Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah · Vol. 12 No. 6 (2025) · hlm. 515–526

DOI
10.22437/ppd.v12i6.40559
ISSN
2355-8520, 2338-4603
Terbit
2025-02-28
Penerbit
Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi
Bahasa
en
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Abstrak

Palm oil is one of Indonesia’s leading export commodities and plays an important role in supporting export revenue and international trade performance. This study aims to analyze the development of Indonesian palm oil exports and examine the influence of gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rates, and population on Indonesian palm oil exports to its three major destination countries, namely India, China, and Pakistan, during the period 2012–2022. This study employed a quantitative approach using descriptive analysis and panel data regression. The findings show that Indonesian palm oil exports to the three destination countries fluctuated during the observation period, with India recording the highest average export value and Pakistan showing a stronger upward trend toward the end of the period. The regression results indicate that GDP and exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian palm oil exports, while population has a significant negative effect. These findings suggest that destination-country macroeconomic conditions and price competitiveness play an important role in shaping Indonesia’s palm oil export performance. This study contributes to the international trade literature by providing comparative empirical evidence on the demand-side determinants of Indonesian palm oil exports across major destination countries. In addition, the findings offer practical insights for strengthening export competitiveness and developing export-oriented trade strategies in the global palm oil market.

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  • Universitas Jambi
  • Lampung University
  • Universitas Muhammadiyah Jambi
  • Shandong University
  • Universitas Malahayati
  • Badan Pusat Statistik
  • Afiliasi tidak diketahui
  • Organisasi berbeda
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Rahma NurjanahUniversitas Jambi11
Siti HodijahAfiliasi tidak diketahui5
Zamzami ZamzamiUniversitas Jambi5
Amri AmirUniversitas Jambi3
Syamsurijal TanUniversitas Jambi3
Heriberta HeribertaUniversitas Jambi2
Parmadi ParmadiUniversitas Jambi2
Muslimin Andika PutraAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Tri YudiartiBadan Pusat Statistik2
Ainur AbdrazakovaShandong University1
Sesraria YuvandaUniversitas Muhammadiyah Jambi1
Muhammad Rachmad RUniversitas Jambi1
Zamzami ZamzamiUniversitas Jambi1
Erna ListyaningsihUniversitas Malahayati1
Fadly Elwa PUniversitas Jambi1
Erwanto ErwantoUniversitas Jambi1
Zulkifli AlamsyahUniversitas Jambi1
Rudi SyafUniversitas Jambi1
M. Syurya HidayatUniversitas Jambi1
Muhammad Rofi AriansyahUniversitas Jambi1
Muhammad FikriUniversitas Jambi1
Junaidi JunaidiUniversitas Jambi1
Sigit IndrawijayaUniversitas Jambi1
Arman DelisUniversitas Jambi1
M. Rachmad R.Universitas Jambi1
Syaparuddin SyaparuddinUniversitas Jambi1
Hajri Puja PratamaUniversitas Jambi1
Sony Tian DhoraLampung University1
Nurul HarizaUniversitas Jambi1
I Wayan SupartaLampung University1
Ahmad Nur Budi UtamaUniversitas Jambi1
Nadya GraceUniversitas Jambi1
Desy MartauliUniversitas Jambi1
Liza AzizahUniversitas Jambi1
KGS Anton WijayaUniversitas Jambi1
Joventus Partogi Silaen JoventusUniversitas Jambi1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/index.php/JES/oai, pertama di-harvest 6 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Demand-side determinants of Indonesian palm oil exports to major destination countries: Evidence from India, China, and Pakistan</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Hodijah, Siti</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Achmad, Erni</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Emilia, Emilia</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Mustika, Candra</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Exchange rate</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Gross Domestic Product (GDP)</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Palm oil exports</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Population</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">Palm oil is one of Indonesia’s leading export commodities and plays an important role in supporting export revenue and international trade performance. This study aims to analyze the development of Indonesian palm oil exports and examine the influence of gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rates, and population on Indonesian palm oil exports to its three major destination countries, namely India, China, and Pakistan, during the period 2012–2022. This study employed a quantitative approach using descriptive analysis and panel data regression. The findings show that Indonesian palm oil exports to the three destination countries fluctuated during the observation period, with India recording the highest average export value and Pakistan showing a stronger upward trend toward the end of the period. The regression results indicate that GDP and exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian palm oil exports, while population has a significant negative effect. These findings suggest that destination-country macroeconomic conditions and price competitiveness play an important role in shaping Indonesia’s palm oil export performance. This study contributes to the international trade literature by providing comparative empirical evidence on the demand-side determinants of Indonesian palm oil exports across major destination countries. In addition, the findings offer practical insights for strengthening export competitiveness and developing export-oriented trade strategies in the global palm oil market.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi  Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-02-28</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/40559</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22437/ppd.v12i6.40559</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah; Vol. 12 No. 6 (2025): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah; 515-526</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2355-8520</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2338-4603</dc:source>
	<dc:language>en</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/40559/24255</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Siti Hodijah, Erni Achmad, Emilia Emilia, Candra Mustika</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>