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The relationship between climate factors and dengue fever incidence in Jambi City, Indonesia

Proceedings Academic Universitas Jambi · Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025) · hlm. 545–550

DOI
10.22437/proca.v1i2.50336
Terbit
2025-11-29
Penerbit
LPPM Universitas Jambi
Bahasa
en
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Abstrak

Background: Dengue is one of the major public health problems in Indonesia. Climatic conditions play an important role in influencing mosquito populations and virus transmission. A change in climate conditions can lead to alterations in mosquito biology, such as breading lifespan, and virus replication rates, which in turn affect the incidence of human dengue cases. The aimed of this study is to analyze the relationship between climate factors and the dengue incidence by considering a lag effect of up to four months. Methods: This study employed a retrospective ecological time-series design. This study analysed the monthly dengue cases from January 2010 to December 2024. The data were obtained from the Jambi City Health Office. Climatic data, including minimum, maximum, and average temperature (°C), relative humidity (%), and rainfall (mm/day), were collected from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). The data were analyzed using Spearman’s correlation test with lag periods ranging from 0 to 4 months. Results: The results showed that maximum and average temperatures had a significant positive correlation with dengue cases at a three-month lag (r = 0.257; p = 0.001 and r = 0.181; p = 0.016, respectively). Rainfall exhibited a significant negative correlation (r = −0.205; p = 0.006). Minimum temperature and relative humidity were not significantly associated with dengue incidence. Conclusion: Temperature and rainfall influence dengue transmission with a three-month lag effect. These findings can support early warning systems and climate-informed dengue control programs.

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  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Sarinah SarinahUniversitas Halu Oleo5
Puspita SariAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Adelina FitriAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Evy WisudarianiAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Hendra Dhermawan SitanggangAfiliasi tidak diketahui4
Sakir SakirUniversitas Halu Oleo3
Dhian HerdhiansyahAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Asriani AsrianiAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Fairuz FairuzAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Lipinwati LipinwatiAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
M. RidwanAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Ummi KalsumAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Esa Indah AyudiaAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Rd. HalimAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Rizalia WardiahAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Marta Butar ButarAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Vinna Rahayu NingsihAfiliasi tidak diketahui3
Abdul FadlilUniversitas Ahmad Dahlan2
La Ode ReskiaddinAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Sri Astuti SiregarAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Rina Nofri EnisAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Tia Wida EkaputriAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Attiya IstariniAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
HafizahAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Denok Tri HardiningsihAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
FitrianingsihAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Elisma .Afiliasi tidak diketahui2
Usi LanitaAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Andree Aulia RahmatAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Huntari HarahapAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
FairuzAfiliasi tidak diketahui2
Wahid Alfaridsi Achmad ZeinAfiliasi tidak diketahui1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/index.php/PROCA/oai, pertama di-harvest 6 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en">The relationship between climate factors and dengue fever incidence in Jambi City, Indonesia</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Syukri, Muhammad</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Nasution, Helmi Suryani</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Butar-butar, Marta Butar-butar</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Dewi, Hasna</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Herman</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Dwinata, Indra</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Akbar, Fajar</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Irawan, Octa</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Dengue, temperature, rainfall, humidity, lag effect, jambi city</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">Background: Dengue is one of the major public health problems in Indonesia. Climatic conditions play an important role in influencing mosquito populations and virus transmission. A change in climate conditions can lead to alterations in mosquito biology, such as breading lifespan, and virus replication rates, which in turn affect the incidence of human dengue cases. The aimed of this study is to analyze the relationship between climate factors and the dengue incidence by considering a lag effect of up to four months. Methods: This study employed a retrospective ecological time-series design. This study analysed the monthly dengue cases from January 2010 to December 2024. The data were obtained from the Jambi City Health Office. Climatic data, including minimum, maximum, and average temperature (°C), relative humidity (%), and rainfall (mm/day), were collected from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). The data were analyzed using Spearman’s correlation test with lag periods ranging from 0 to 4 months. Results: The results showed that maximum and average temperatures had a significant positive correlation with dengue cases at a three-month lag (r = 0.257; p = 0.001 and r = 0.181; p = 0.016, respectively). Rainfall exhibited a significant negative correlation (r = −0.205; p = 0.006). Minimum temperature and relative humidity were not significantly associated with dengue incidence. Conclusion: Temperature and rainfall influence dengue transmission with a three-month lag effect. These findings can support early warning systems and climate-informed dengue control programs.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">LPPM Universitas Jambi</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-11-29</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/PROCA/article/view/50336</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22437/proca.v1i2.50336</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Proceedings Academic Universitas Jambi; Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): The 6th Jambi Medicine and Health Science International Conference (JAMHESIC); 545-550</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.22437/proca.v1i2</dc:source>
	<dc:language>en</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/PROCA/article/view/50336/22638</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Muhammad Syukri, Helmi Suryani Nasution, Marta Butar-butar Butar-butar, Hasna Dewi, Herman, Indra Dwinata, Fajar Akbar, Octa Irawan</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>