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IMPACT OF SOLAR RADIATION MODIFICATION ON TEMPERATURE CHANGES FROM SINABUNG ERUPTION IN KARO REGENCY

JOURNAL ONLINE OF PHYSICS · Vol. 11 No. 1 (2025) · hlm. 29–38

DOI
10.22437/jop.v11i1.47783
ISSN
2502-2016
Terbit
2025-11-01
Penerbit
Prodi Fisika FST UNJA
Bahasa
en
Lisensi
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Abstrak

This study combines reanalysis of observational data and climate modelling to examine temperature changes due to the eruption of Mount Sinabung and future temperature projections. Observation data were taken from ERA5 to identify local temperature changes following the Sinabung eruption in February 2018, while simulations from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) were used to observe temperature responses under the Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) scenario. Temperature projections were conducted for the period 2026 – 2099 using the CESM-WACCM, CNRM-ESM2-1, and MPI-ESM1-2-LR models under the G6Solar, G6Sulfur, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The results show that GeoMIP temperatures are lower than ERA5 after bias correction. SRM was found to effectively decrease temperature at the summit of Sinabung and Karo Regency, approaching low emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5), with increases of 1,90℃ and 1,05℃ under G6Solar, and 1,02℃ and 0,96℃ under G6Sulfur. Conversely, in the high emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), temperatures increased to 2,13℃ and 2,1℃.

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  • Sebelas Maret University
  • Diponegoro University
  • Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta
  • Meteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency
  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Bandung Institute of Technology
  • Jenderal Soedirman University
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Rekan penulisOrganisasiArtikel bersama
Udi HarmokoDiponegoro University3
Rina Dwi IndrianaDiponegoro University3
Muhammad Irham NurwidyantoDiponegoro University2
Sehah SehahJenderal Soedirman University2
Mohtar YuniantoSebelas Maret University2
Ria AndryaniUniversitas Bina Darma1
Surya Negara EdiAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Eko Teguh ParipurnoUniversitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta1
Yohana Noradika MaharaniUniversitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta1
Arif Rianto Budi NugrohoUniversitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta1
Agus TriyonoMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Rahmat GernowoDiponegoro University1
Gregrius Alvin FernandoDiponegoro University1
Mela Budiani SeptianingsihSebelas Maret University1
Budi LegowoSebelas Maret University1
Mochamad Aryono AdhiState University of Semarang1
Danastri Lintang Pitaloka TampubolonNational Central University1
Muliddin MuliddinUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Jamhir SafaniUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Ilham IlhamMeteorological, Climatological, And Geophysical Agency1
Teguh SulistianAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
S SulistiyaniAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Nugroho Budi WAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Mariyanto MariyantoInstitut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember1
Eleonora AgustinPadjadjaran University1
Mimin IryantiIndonesia University of Education1
Cahyo Aji HapsoroBandung Institute of Technology1
Abdul Latif AshadiKing Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals1
Asep Yusup BurhanudinDiponegoro University1
Joko WindartoDiponegoro University1
Darsono DarsonoNational Research and Innovation Agency1
Nakif NurcandraAfiliasi tidak diketahui1
Choirul Singgih MunandarSebelas Maret University1
Chatarina MuryaniSebelas Maret University1
Pipit WijayantiSebelas Maret University1
Ari Handono RamelanSebelas Maret University1
Doddy SutarnoBandung Institute of Technology1

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Sumber metadata: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/index.php/jop/oai, pertama di-harvest 6 Nov 2026, terakhir terlihat 8 Nov 2026.
Metadata asli (oai_dc) 
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en">IMPACT OF SOLAR RADIATION MODIFICATION ON TEMPERATURE CHANGES FROM SINABUNG ERUPTION IN KARO REGENCY </dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Koesuma, Sorja</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Sakhina, Friska Ayu</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Gernowo, Rahmat</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Sinabung eruption</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Solar Radiation Modification</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">ERA5</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Temperature projection</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Bias correction</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">This study combines reanalysis of observational data and climate modelling to examine temperature changes due to the eruption of Mount Sinabung and future temperature projections. Observation data were taken from ERA5 to identify local temperature changes following the Sinabung eruption in February 2018, while simulations from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) were used to observe temperature responses under the Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) scenario. Temperature projections were conducted for the period 2026 – 2099 using the CESM-WACCM, CNRM-ESM2-1, and MPI-ESM1-2-LR models under the G6Solar, G6Sulfur, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The results show that GeoMIP temperatures are lower than ERA5 after bias correction. SRM was found to effectively decrease temperature at the summit of Sinabung and Karo Regency, approaching low emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5), with increases of 1,90℃ and 1,05℃ under G6Solar, and 1,02℃ and 0,96℃ under G6Sulfur. Conversely, in the high emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), temperatures increased to 2,13℃ and 2,1℃.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Prodi Fisika FST UNJA</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-11-01</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/jop/article/view/47783</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22437/jop.v11i1.47783</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">JOURNAL ONLINE OF PHYSICS; Vol. 11 No. 1 (2025): JOP (Journal Online of Physics) Vol 11 No 1; 29-38</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2502-2016</dc:source>
	<dc:language>en</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/jop/article/view/47783/22350</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Sorja Koesuma, Friska Ayu Sakhina, Rahmat Gernowo</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
</oai_dc:dc>