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Peramalan KLBCampakMenggunakanGabunganMetode JST Backpropagationdan CART

IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) · Vol. 8 No. 1 (2014) · pp. 49–58

DOI
10.22146/ijccs.3495
ISSN
2460-7258, 1978-1520
Published
2014-01-31
Publisher
IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.
Language
eng
License
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

Abstract

Forecasting Measles Outbreak in an area is necessary because to prevent widespread occurrence in an area. One way that is done in this study is to predict the incidence of measles by using a combination of backpropagation ANN and CART. Backpropagation ANN is used to predict the incidence of measles periodic data, then the CART method used to perform the determination of an outbreak or non-outbreak area.Backpropagation neural network is one of the most commonly used methods for forecasting which can result in a better level of accuracy than other ANN methods. While the methods of CART is a binary tree method is also popular for the classification, which can produce models or classification rules.Results of this study show that the number of the best window for backpropagation neural network to forecast the outcome affect forecasting accuracy. Determination of the number of windows of a backpropagation neural network forecasting on each attribute gives different results and directly affects the forecasting results. ANN can do the forecasting in time series using siliding window with accuracy 90.01% and then CART method can be use for classification with accuracy 83.33%.

Keywords

Collaboration network of the authors

38 authors · 52 co-authorship links · 15 across different organisations

Hover or tap a name to highlight its co-authors. Double-click to open the author's page.

  • Universitas Gadjah Mada
  • Indonesia University of Education
  • Universitas Stikubank
  • University of Indonesia
  • Universitas Airlangga
  • Instituto Profissional de Canossa - IPDC
  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Other organisations
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Different organisations
  • Same organisation
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
Show as table
Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Retantyo WardoyoUniversitas Gadjah Mada4
Khabib MustofaUniversitas Gadjah Mada4
Edhy SutantaUniversitas Gadjah Mada4
Agus HarjokoUniversitas Gadjah Mada3
Sandi Fajar RodiyansyahIndonesia University of Education2
Edy WinarnoUniversitas Stikubank2
Aniati Murni ArymurthyUniversity of Indonesia2
Mardi Siswo UtomoUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Badrus ZamanUniversitas Airlangga1
Agustinus JacobusUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Noviah Dwi PutrantiUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Ambarwati AmbarwatiInstituto Profissional de Canossa - IPDC1
Agus Sasmito AriwibowoAffiliation unknown1
Eka KaryawatiUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Robynson AmsekeAffiliation unknown1
Natalis RansiUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Sumarni AdiUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Lutfi Budi IlmawanState University of Malang1
Wayan Gede Suka ParwitaUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Fadhila Tangguh AdmojoUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Siti KhomsahInstitut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto1
Doni SetyawanUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Fajar RatnawatiPoliteknik Negeri Bengkalis1
Ira ZulfaUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Rakhmad IkhsanudinUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Junanda PatihullahUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Wafda RifaiUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Sigit PriyantaUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Sholikin Ady ChandraUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Putri Rizki AmaliaUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Angel Berta Desi SuryantiUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Fahmi Reza PrasastioUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Azhari AzhariUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Anak Agung Istri Ngurah Eka KaryawatiUdayana University1
Arif RahmanUniversitas Gadjah Mada1
Khabis MustofaAffiliation unknown1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/oai, first harvested 26 Okt 2026, last seen 26 Okt 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">Peramalan  KLBCampakMenggunakanGabunganMetode JST Backpropagationdan CART</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Sulistyowati, Sulistyowati</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Winarko, Edi</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US"></dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en-US">KLB, Measles, Forecasting, Backprpagation, CART</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">Forecasting Measles Outbreak  in an area is necessary because to prevent widespread occurrence in an area. One way that is done in this study is to predict the incidence of measles by using a combination of backpropagation ANN and CART. Backpropagation ANN is used to predict the incidence of measles periodic data, then the CART method used to perform the determination of an outbreak or non-outbreak area.Backpropagation neural network is one of the most commonly used methods for forecasting which can result in a better level of accuracy than other ANN methods. While the methods of CART is a binary tree method is also popular for the classification, which can produce models or classification rules.Results of this study show that the number of the best window for backpropagation neural network to forecast the outcome affect forecasting accuracy. Determination of the number of windows of a backpropagation neural network forecasting on each attribute gives different results and directly affects the forecasting results. ANN can do the forecasting in time series using siliding window with accuracy 90.01% and then CART method can be use for classification with accuracy 83.33%.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.</dc:publisher>
	<dc:contributor xml:lang="en-US">IndoCEISS</dc:contributor>
	<dc:date>2014-01-31</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
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	<dc:identifier>https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/3495</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.22146/ijccs.3495</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems); Vol 8, No 1 (2014): January; 49-58</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2460-7258</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1978-1520</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.ugm.ac.id/ijccs/article/view/3495/3021</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">Copyright (c) 2014 IJCCS - Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en-US">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0</dc:rights>
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