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“Demographic Winter”: Does it Have an Impact on Indonesia? Population Economic Records

ETIKONOMI · Vol. 22 No. 2 (2024) · pp. 389–408

DOI
10.15408/etk.v22i2.31264
ISSN
2461-0771, 1412-8969
Published
2024-03-30
Publisher
Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta
Language
eng

Abstract

The originality of this paper focuses on existing material. It has implications for uncovering Indonesia's barriers to population growth, which are associated with economic components such as employment, wages, and happiness. On this basis, the orientation of this study is centered on cycles in the "demographic winter" of Indonesia. Short-term data for 2016–2021 is applied. This research is using multiple regression. In its actualization, population composition has a positive effect on the aging population, the aging population has a positive effect on the young workforce, and the young workforce affects wages. Another direct effect found a positive effect between fertility on marriage and birth productivity. From other moments, it is evident that being married positively affects birth productivity, and life expectancy and birth productivity positively affect happiness. In theoretical construction, the findings suggest further identification beyond the existing premise. The research in the next edition is growing by including other non-economic factors such as health, migration, mortality, and education.JEL Classification: C12, C22, J10, J21, I31How to Cite:Rosyadi, R., Wijayanti, T. C., & Jiuhardi, J. (2023). “Demographic Winter”: Does it Have an Impact on Indonesia? Population Economic Records. Etikonomi, 22(2), 389 – 408. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v22i2.31264.

Keywords

Collaboration network of the authors

6 authors · 7 co-authorship links

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  • Tanjungpura University
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Different organisations
  • Same organisation
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
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Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Lusianus Hendro SantosoTanjungpura University1
Yarlina YacoubTanjungpura University1
M. Reza SyahputraTanjungpura University1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) http://journal.uinjkt.ac.id/index.php/etikonomi/oai, first harvested 8 Nov 2026, last seen 8 Nov 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">“Demographic Winter”: Does it Have an Impact on Indonesia? Population Economic Records</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Rosyadi, Rosyadi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Wijayanti, Tri Cicik</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Jiuhardi, Jiuhardi</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">prosperity</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">demographics</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">workforce</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">happiness</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">The originality of this paper focuses on existing material. It has implications for uncovering Indonesia's barriers to population growth, which are associated with economic components such as employment, wages, and happiness. On this basis, the orientation of this study is centered on cycles in the "demographic winter" of Indonesia. Short-term data for 2016–2021 is applied. This research is using multiple regression. In its actualization, population composition has a positive effect on the aging population, the aging population has a positive effect on the young workforce, and the young workforce affects wages. Another direct effect found a positive effect between fertility on marriage and birth productivity. From other moments, it is evident that being married positively affects birth productivity, and life expectancy and birth productivity positively affect happiness. In theoretical construction, the findings suggest further identification beyond the existing premise. The research in the next edition is growing by including other non-economic factors such as health, migration, mortality, and education.JEL Classification: C12, C22, J10, J21, I31How to Cite:Rosyadi, R., Wijayanti, T. C., &amp;amp; Jiuhardi, J. (2023). “Demographic Winter”: Does it Have an Impact on Indonesia? Population Economic Records. Etikonomi, 22(2), 389 – 408. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v22i2.31264.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2024-03-30</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:type xml:lang="en">Peer-reviewed Article</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.uinjkt.ac.id/index.php/etikonomi/article/view/31264</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.15408/etk.v22i2.31264</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">ETIKONOMI; Vol. 22 No. 2 (2023); 389-408</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2461-0771</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1412-8969</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.uinjkt.ac.id/index.php/etikonomi/article/view/31264/pdf</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2023 Rosyadi Rosyadi, Tri Cicik Wijayanti, Jiuhardi Jiuhardi</dc:rights>
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