Melola Discovery

← Melola Discovery

Journal SINTA 3

PERAMALAN SUHU UDARA DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KONSUMSI ENERGI LISTRIK DI KALIMANTAN TIMUR

BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan · Vol. 14 No. 3 (2020) · pp. 397–410

DOI
10.30598/barekengvol14iss3pp397-410
ISSN
2615-3017, 1978-7227
Published
2020-10-10
Publisher
PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY
Language
eng

Abstract

The increase in air temperature due to climate change and global warming has become a major concern for policy makers, one of which is the government of East Kalimantan. Electric energy consumption has a close relationship with economic development in East Kalimantan. So it is necessary to forecast the temperature of air in order to predict the consumption of electrical energy in the future. The purpose of this study was to determine the forecasting of air temperatures in East Kalimantan, namely the cities of Balikpapan, Samarinda and Berau and to determine the relationship between air temperature and electricity consumption in East Kalimantan. In this study, the method used is the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and multiple linear regression methods. The results of the analysis using the ARIMA method obtained the best models for the cities of Balikpapan, Samarinda and Berau respectively, namely ARIMA(1,1,1), ARIMA(1,1,1) and ARIMA(3,1,0). Based on the results of multiple linear regression obtained R-square value of 39%, which mean that the influence of air temperature on the consumption of electrical energy is 39%. From the results of the t test and F test, it is known that air temperature has a significant effect on the increase in electricity consumption in East Kalimantan

Collaboration network of the authors

7 authors · 9 co-authorship links

Hover or tap a name to highlight its co-authors. Double-click to open the author's page.

  • Institut Teknologi Kalimantan
  • Different organisations
  • Same organisation
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
Show as table
Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Syalam Ali Wira DinataInstitut Teknologi Kalimantan1
Ayuning Arum PurbosariInstitut Teknologi Kalimantan1
Indira AnggrianiInstitut Teknologi Kalimantan1
Desi NurjanahInstitut Teknologi Kalimantan1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/oai, first harvested 5 Nov 2026, last seen 8 Nov 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
<oai_dc:dc xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/  http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
	<dc:title xml:lang="en-US">PERAMALAN SUHU UDARA DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KONSUMSI ENERGI LISTRIK DI KALIMANTAN TIMUR</dc:title>
	<dc:creator>Susanti, Lisa</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Hasanah, Primadina</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator>Winarni, Winarni</dc:creator>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en-US">The increase in air temperature due to climate change and global warming has become a major concern for policy makers, one of which is the government of East Kalimantan. Electric energy consumption has a close relationship with economic development in East Kalimantan. So it is necessary&amp;nbsp; to forecast the temperature of air in order to predict the consumption of electrical energy in the future. The purpose of this study was to determine the forecasting of air temperatures in East Kalimantan, namely the cities of Balikpapan, Samarinda and Berau and to determine the relationship between air temperature and electricity consumption in East Kalimantan. In this study, the method used is the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and multiple linear regression methods. The results of the analysis using the ARIMA method obtained the best models for the cities of Balikpapan, Samarinda and Berau respectively, namely ARIMA(1,1,1), ARIMA(1,1,1) and ARIMA(3,1,0). Based on the results of multiple linear regression obtained R-square value of 39%, which mean that the influence of air temperature on the consumption of electrical energy is 39%. From the results of the t test and F test, it is known that air temperature has a significant effect on the increase in electricity consumption in East Kalimantan</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en-US">PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2020-10-10</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/2143</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.30598/barekengvol14iss3pp397-410</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en-US">BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan; Vol 14 No 3 (2020): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan; 397-410</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2615-3017</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1978-7227</dc:source>
	<dc:source>10.30598/barekengvol14iss3year2020</dc:source>
	<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/2143/2200</dc:relation>
</oai_dc:dc>