Open access Journal SINTA 3
BAYESIAN NEURAL NETWORK RAINFALL MODELLING: A CASE STUDY IN EAST JAVA
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan · Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024) · pp. 1105–1116
- ISSN
- 2615-3017, 1978-7227
- Published
- 2024-05-25
- Publisher
- PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY
- Language
- eng
Abstract
Rainfall is an important parameter in meteorology and hydrology, and it measures the amount of rain that falls from the atmosphere to the ground surface in liquid form. However, in the process of measuring rainfall, changes in the rainfall cycle sometimes occur due to climate change, global warming, and other factors. Therefore, this research aims to model daily rainfall using the Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) approach, combining the Bayesian Method and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). ANN is suitable for rainfall models that have intermittent characteristics. Meanwhile, the Bayesian method provides advantages in producing model parameter inferences that provide uncertainty measurements in predictions. BNN is expected to deliver better daily rainfall predictions than ANN. This research used daily rainfall data in East Jawa, and the results show that the Bayesian Neural Network produces better rainfall predictions when describing rainfall in East Java. These predictions will be very useful for the government and the people of East Java province to prevent flooding. Also, with rainfall predictions, people will know more about what crops should be planted during the rains.
Collaboration network of the authors
40 authors · 141 co-authorship links · 13 across different organisations · showing the 40 most connected
Hover or tap a name to highlight its co-authors. Double-click to open the author's page.
- University of Brawijaya
- University of Bengkulu
- Université d’Antsiranana
- University of Technology Malaysia
- Affiliation unknown
- Different organisations
- Same organisation
- Affiliation unknown
- Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
Show as table
| Co-author | Organisation | Joint articles |
|---|---|---|
| Ani Budi Astuti | University of Brawijaya | 3 |
| Henny Pramoedyo | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Adji Achmad Rinaldo Fernandes | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Sri Handayani | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Alifiandi Rafi Muhammad | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Ulfah Maisaroh | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Darmanto Darmanto | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Nurjannah Nurjannah | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| İsnani Darti | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Muhammad Hisyam Lee | University of Technology Malaysia | 2 |
| Rismania Hartanti Putri Yulianing Damayanti | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Ni Wayan Surya Wardhani | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Adinda Gita Maharani | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Atmadani Rahayu Fakhrunnisa | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Husnul Khatimah | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Silvia Intan Aulia | University of Brawijaya | 2 |
| Alya Fitri Syalsabilla | Affiliation unknown | 1 |
| Alya Fitri Syalsabilla | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Agus Fachrur Rozy | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Dwi Ayu Lusia | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Heni Kusdarwati | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Imelda Salsabila | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Achmad Efendi | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Fachri Faisal | University of Bengkulu | 1 |
| Atiek Iriany | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Petrus Kanisius Ola | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Rahma Fitriani | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Armando Jacquis Federal Zamelina | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Lucius Ramifidisoa | Université d’Antsiranana | 1 |
| Solimun Solimun | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Usriatur Rohma | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
| Agis Wahyu Lestari | University of Brawijaya | 1 |
Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.