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Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi · Vol. 21 No. 3 (2025) · pp. 832–846

DOI
10.20956/j.v21i3.43563
ISSN
2614-8811, 1858-1382
Published
2025-05-14
Publisher
Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University
Language
en
License
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Abstract

This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.

Keywords

Collaboration network of the authors

27 authors · 107 co-authorship links · 11 across different organisations

Hover or tap a name to highlight its co-authors. Double-click to open the author's page.

  • Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Hasanuddin University
  • Institut Agama Islam Negeri Kendari
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Different organisations
  • Same organisation
  • Affiliation unknown
  • Thicker line = more joint articles · bigger circle = more articles
Show as table
Co-authorOrganisationJoint articles
Gusti Ngurah Adhi WibawaUniversitas Halu Oleo7
Makkulau MakkulauUniversitas Halu Oleo5
Irma YahyaUniversitas Halu Oleo3
Lilis LaomeUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Baharuddin SaidUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Dian Christien ArisonaUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Irma YahyaUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Mukhsar MukhsarUniversitas Halu Oleo2
Safira Nur AdhanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Sartiah YusranUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Ningtias Eka SaputriAffiliation unknown1
Ruslan RuslanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Iskandar PattihUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Hamirul HadinUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Andi TenriawaruUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Baharuddin BaharuddinHasanuddin University1
Ida UsmanUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Rahmalia SahupalaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Lestari DaswanInstitut Agama Islam Negeri Kendari1
Andi Tenri AmpaUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Bahriddin AbapihiUniversitas Halu Oleo1
Hartini HartiniAffiliation unknown1
Baharuddin BaharuddinAffiliation unknown1
Putri Riski FahyuniAffiliation unknown1

Affiliations come from OpenAlex; journal OAI-PMH metadata carries none. Authors without an OpenAlex ID are matched by name, which can merge or split people.

Metadata source: OAI-PMH (metadata jurnal) https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/oai, first harvested 5 Nov 2026, last seen 8 Nov 2026.
Original metadata (oai_dc) 
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	<dc:title xml:lang="en">Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method</dc:title>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Khair, Nur Ismi</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Ruslan, Ruslan</dc:creator>
	<dc:creator xml:lang="en">Agusrawati, Agusrawati</dc:creator>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Forecasting</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Prophet</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">Electricity</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">consumption</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en"> MAPE</dc:subject>
	<dc:subject xml:lang="en">MSE</dc:subject>
	<dc:description xml:lang="en">This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.</dc:description>
	<dc:publisher xml:lang="en">Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University</dc:publisher>
	<dc:date>2025-05-14</dc:date>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
	<dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion</dc:type>
	<dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
	<dc:identifier>https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/article/view/43563</dc:identifier>
	<dc:identifier>10.20956/j.v21i3.43563</dc:identifier>
	<dc:source xml:lang="en">Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi; Vol. 21 No. 3 (2025): MAY 2025; 832-846</dc:source>
	<dc:source>2614-8811</dc:source>
	<dc:source>1858-1382</dc:source>
	<dc:language>en</dc:language>
	<dc:relation>https://journal.unhas.ac.id/index.php/jmsk/article/view/43563/12810</dc:relation>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">Copyright (c) 2025 Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi</dc:rights>
	<dc:rights xml:lang="en">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
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